What it means
Economic value is forward-looking. It takes the cash flows an asset or business is expected to produce in future and discounts them back to a value today, because a dollar received in five years is worth less than a dollar in hand now.
This differs from book value, which records what was paid less accumulated depreciation, and from market value, which is what a buyer will currently pay. A machine can have a book value of zero and still hold substantial economic value if it is producing profitable output every day.
Managers use economic value whenever a decision involves keeping, selling or replacing something. If the economic value of retaining a contract, a site or a piece of equipment exceeds what someone will pay for it, the rational answer is to keep it, and if it does not, sell it.
The calculation requires two inputs that both demand judgement: the expected future cash flows and the discount rate that reflects their risk. Because both are estimates, economic value is best expressed as a range with a clearly stated set of assumptions.
Accountants meet the same idea under the label "value in use" when testing assets for impairment. If an asset's carrying amount in the accounts exceeds the higher of its economic value in use and its fair value less costs to sell, the asset must be written down.
In practice
Real-world examples.
Example
A haulage firm is offered $65,000 for a truck with a book value of $20,000. The truck is expected to produce $28,000 of net cash a year for three more years, so its economic value comfortably exceeds the offer and the firm keeps it.
Example
A publisher holds a back catalogue with almost no carrying value in the accounts. Steady licensing income of $90,000 a year gives it a real economic value that becomes visible only when the business is put up for sale.
Example
A retailer reviews a struggling store whose fit-out is on the books at $450,000. Projected store cash flows discount to $310,000, triggering an impairment charge and a decision to close at lease expiry.
Formula
Calculation
Economic value = Sum of (Expected cash flow in each year / (1 + discount rate) raised to that year)
For a level annual cash flow, the shortcut is:
Economic value = Annual cash flow x [(1 - (1 + r) to the power of -n) / r]
Take a packaging line expected to generate $120,000 of net cash a year for five years, with a discount rate of 10% reflecting the risk of those flows.
The annuity factor is (1 - 1.10 to the power of -5) / 0.10 = (1 - 0.620921) / 0.10 = 3.790787.
Economic value is therefore $120,000 x 3.790787 = $454,894, rounded to the nearest dollar. If the line sits in the accounts at a book value of $600,000 and a buyer would only pay $380,000, the asset is carried above its recoverable amount and needs an impairment write-down of $600,000 - $454,894 = $145,106.Case study
Seen in the real world.
The following is an illustrative and entirely fictional example. Northgate Dairy Co-operative, an invented milk processor, held a bottling plant carried at $2,400,000 after years of depreciation. A local buyer offered $1,600,000 for the site, and several board members wanted to accept because the offer was well above the plant's original purchase price.
The finance team calculated economic value instead. Projected net cash flows of $420,000 a year for eight years, discounted at 11%, produced a value in use of roughly $2,160,000, comfortably above the $1,600,000 on the table.
The illustrative conclusion was twofold. Northgate declined the offer because the plant was worth more in operation than in a sale, but it also recorded a $240,000 impairment, since $2,160,000 was still below the $2,400,000 carrying amount.
Watch out
Common mistakes.
- Confusing economic value with book value. Book value is a historical accounting record, while economic value is an estimate of future cash generation.
- Using a single discount rate for every asset. Riskier cash flows deserve a higher rate, and applying one blended rate across the business systematically overvalues the risky parts.
- Including sunk costs in the calculation. What you paid is irrelevant; only the cash the asset will produce from today onwards affects its economic value.
Questions
People also ask.
Is economic value the same as market value?
No; market value is what buyers will actually pay today, while economic value is what the asset is worth to its current owner given expected use.
Why does the discount rate matter so much?
Because it compounds, a two percentage point change in the rate can move the value of a long-lived asset by 15% or more.
Can economic value be negative?
Yes, when an asset costs more to run and decommission than it generates, which is common with obsolete plant and loss-making sites.
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