What it means
GIC was set up in 1981 to manage the government's foreign reserves, with the aim of preserving and enhancing their purchasing power over the long term. It does not run Singapore's budget or set monetary policy.
Its job is to invest, and the returns support the national finances. The structure is worth understanding.
Singapore's Ministry of Finance is the sole shareholder, GIC invests on the government's behalf, and the government is allowed to spend a portion of the long-term expected return each year as a budget contribution. The principal itself is protected by a constitutional safeguard, so it cannot be spent at will.
GIC invests almost entirely outside Singapore. Its portfolio is diversified across shares, bonds, property, private equity and infrastructure, and it aims to spread risk across countries and currencies.
GIC is a separate organisation from Temasek, which is another Singapore state investment company with a larger focus on direct stakes in companies. GIC reports its performance as a 20-year annualised real return, which is the average yearly return after removing the effect of global inflation.
This is a deliberate choice, because a reserve fund exists to keep its purchasing power rather than to win a quarterly ranking. Short-term losses in bad years are expected and are judged against the long record.
For a non-finance manager, GIC matters in two ways. It is a large and patient buyer of assets, so it shows up as an investor in deals, bonds and funds around the world.
It is also a model for how a small country can turn reserves into a long-term income stream. Governance is a large part of the reputation.
GIC publishes an annual report, its board includes senior public figures and outside business people, and it follows a code of conduct on conflicts of interest. Those features are why other governments often cite it when designing their own funds.
In practice
Real-world examples.
Example
A property developer in London is seeking a long-term partner for an office project. GIC agrees to take a minority share because the project's stable rental income suits a fund that wants to hold assets for decades.
Example
A global bond manager notices that a large sovereign investor has been buying long-dated bonds in several currencies. The manager reads this as a sign of strong long-term demand and weighs it when judging future bond prices.
Example
A finance student compares GIC's published 20-year real return with a pension fund's ten-year return. She realises the two cannot be compared directly because the periods differ and one figure is real while the other is nominal.
Formula
Calculation
Real return = (1 + Nominal return) / (1 + Inflation rate) - 1
Suppose a reserve portfolio of $100,000,000,000 earns a nominal return of 8.12% in a year while global inflation is 2%. Real return = (1 + 0.0812) / (1 + 0.02) - 1 = 1.0812 / 1.02 - 1 = 1.06 - 1 = 0.06, or 6%. The portfolio grew by 0.0812 x 100,000,000,000 = $8,120,000,000 in nominal terms, but in real terms it gained purchasing power of about 0.06 x 100,000,000,000 = $6,000,000,000.Case study
Seen in the real world.
Bellmouth Island is an illustrative, fictional nation of four million people that decided to copy the Singapore model after a sudden jump in tourism income. The finance secretary asked for a Government Investment Corporation with a single mandate to preserve and grow the reserves.
The new corporation was given three rules. It could invest only outside Bellmouth, its profits could be paid to the budget only up to a fixed share of expected long-term return, and the principal could not be touched without a vote of parliament.
In the first decade the illustrative fund earned a real return of 3.5% a year, which on a starting pool of $2,000,000,000 added about $70,000,000 of purchasing power in year one. The finance secretary pointed out that the income had paid for new schools without raising taxes. Looking back, the minister noted that the discipline mattered as much as the investing skill. Because the rules were written before the first dollar arrived, nobody could argue later that the fund should be raided to cover an unexpected shortfall.
Watch out
Common mistakes.
- Confusing GIC with Singapore's central bank, when GIC invests the reserves and the central bank sets monetary policy and manages exchange rate policy.
- Assuming GIC and Temasek are the same organisation, when they are separate companies with different mandates and different portfolios.
- Reading a single good or bad year as the fund's real performance, when the fund itself reports and judges returns over twenty years.
Questions
People also ask.
Does GIC invest in Singapore?
Almost all of its investments are made overseas, which keeps the reserve independent of the local economy.
Why is its return quoted in real terms?
Real returns show whether the reserves have kept their purchasing power, which is the main purpose of a reserve fund.
Who owns GIC?
The Government of Singapore owns it, and the Ministry of Finance is the shareholder.
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