What it means
The grid has nine cells, with each axis commonly split into low, medium and high, so a person's placement is the intersection of the two ratings. Define performance and potential separately: performance should reflect evidence about the person's current role, goals and results over a stated period rather than a recent impression, while potential may mean readiness for a specific future role, ability to learn new skills or capacity for wider responsibility, and the organisation should say which.
High current performance does not automatically mean readiness to manage people, as a strong technical specialist may want a different career path, and low current performance does not prove low long-term potential, because a new role, weak support or an inaccessible process can affect results. Start from role needs, since succession planning should identify future work and the capabilities it requires and a generic "high potential" label may be too vague.
Use several sources, because results, feedback, work samples and structured assessments can help challenge one manager's view, though none should be treated as infallible. Calibrate across teams, as managers may use different standards for the same rating and a review discussion can surface those differences.
Avoid comparing unlike roles without context, because a sales target and a research project need different evidence; the grid can still support discussion, but not a crude ranking. Look for bias, since visibility, similarity to a manager, access to stretch assignments and assumptions about availability can influence potential scores.
Keep records of reasons and make the outcome useful: if a rating affects opportunity, document the evidence and proposed development actions, because a cell label alone is not a plan and a person who may be ready for a future role needs relevant experiences, coaching and feedback, not merely a place in a box. Support all employees and respect career preference: people outside the top-right cell may need training, role changes, recognition or clear performance support, and someone may have skill for leadership but not want a management role, so discuss interests rather than assigning a path in secret.
Review periodically, because current performance and future readiness can change with opportunities and support, and a placement should not become permanent. Protect confidentiality and separate development from adverse action, since talent reviews contain sensitive personal judgments, so limit access, handle records under local privacy and employment rules, and remember that a grid is no substitute for a fair performance-management or employment process, with local HR and legal review where decisions carry consequences.
Check succession depth: if a key role has no ready candidates, the organisation may need development, external recruitment or a revised role design. Do not convert the grid into a single precision score, because "high" and "medium" boundaries are often subjective and rounding them to a percentage can create false certainty.
A high-potential share can be reported descriptively if criteria are clear, and twelve of 80 reviewed employees is 15%, but the number says little about readiness without the role context. Gallup describes the performance-potential structure and warns that subjectivity and bias can undermine it, and SHRM also identifies the grid as a succession-planning tool.
For an owner, it can organise a conversation about talent and future roles, but its value depends on evidence, calibration and actual development opportunities rather than the grid alone.
In practice
Real-world examples.
Example
A capable specialist performs well but is rated medium for management potential because they have not yet led a team. The manager proposes a small project lead role to gather evidence rather than closing the door on leadership. The rating becomes a development question, not a verdict.
Example
Managers from several departments compare evidence across teams before agreeing on succession candidates. One manager finds that her ratings were more generous than her peers' for the same results, and the group adjusts the scale. The discussion improves consistency more than the grid itself.
Example
A team creates stretch projects and coaching for staff in several cells, not only the top-right one. A steady performer in the centre cell takes on a client-facing task and a cross-training placement. The grid guides conversations about growth for everyone.
Formula
Calculation
The grid itself has no required calculation. An illustrative high-potential share is people in a defined high-potential group / people reviewed x 100. Twelve of 80 is 15%, but define the group and do not treat that percentage as proof of readiness.Case study
Seen in the real world.
Fictional case: Falcon Retail had no named successors for store leadership. Managers used a nine-box discussion, but found that "potential" meant different things across stores. They defined role-specific evidence, reviewed bias and offered development work to several employees before revisiting readiness. This fictional case shows that the discussion and follow-through matter more than filling cells.
Six months later, Falcon's review shows that two employees originally placed in the middle cells had completed stretch assignments and moved up on the evidence. The company also notes that three people in the top-right cell still lacked interest in a store manager role, and it adjusts their plans after conversations. The exercise ends with named development actions, not just a chart.
Watch out
Common mistakes.
- Equating strong current performance with guaranteed future leadership success.
- Using vague potential labels without evidence or bias checks.
- Treating a grid placement as permanent or as a substitute for development.
Questions
People also ask.
What are the two axes?
Usually current performance and assessed potential for future roles, each divided into three levels.
Is the top-right cell a promotion guarantee?
No. Readiness, role availability, interest and fair selection still matter.
Should employees be told their box?
Follow the organisation's transparent HR process and local requirements; discuss evidence and development without reducing a person to a label.
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