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Order Promise Accuracy

Order promise accuracy measures how often an order or line is fulfilled within the quantity and timing commitment given to a customer, under a stated event and tolerance. It compares original and agreed revised promises with actual evidence. The measure should not equate a shipment scan with delivery when arrival was promised.

From the Money Master HQ dictionary, founded by Shihan Sheriff (FCMA, VP of Finance at Nomod, CFO at Esanjo Ventures). How these definitions are written.

What it means

A seller tells a customer a machine part will arrive by Friday; the warehouse dispatches it Friday, but delivery occurs Tuesday. A metric based only on dispatch would mark success even though the customer promise was missed.

Oracle documents separate promised ship and arrival dates alongside actual shipment and delivery dates, and its order promising guidance discusses availability estimates, so the business must choose the promise that customers actually received. Record the initial commitment, storing the date, quantity, destination and any agreed delivery window, since a vague "soon" cannot be scored reliably.

Separate ship from arrival, because a promise to ship on Friday is not a promise to deliver on Friday and the metric should name its event. Choose the unit, as order, line, shipment and unit measures yield different results when fulfilment is partial, and report the method clearly.

Keep original and revised dates: if a customer agrees to a change, record when and why, and do not overwrite the first promise and make history look perfect. Measure both reliability and bias, since an order delivered after the promised date misses the window while repeated early delivery may also inconvenience a customer.

Define the window, because some customers accept delivery within a range, and a one-day tolerance must be agreed and applied consistently, not created after misses; a high on-time score paired with many last-minute date revisions may signal a weak promise process. Use actual delivery evidence, since a carrier label or pickup scan is not proof the customer received the goods, and match timestamps to proof of delivery where appropriate.

Check time zones, because a midnight delivery scan can appear on a different day in the customer location, and apply a consistent local convention. Handle split shipments by counting the line accurately and disclosing the rule, since a header-level pass can hide missing units, and separate customer-requested postponements from supplier stockouts with reason codes and approval evidence.

Confirm inventory and capacity, because promising against stale stock can create an impossible commitment, so check reservations, quality holds and inbound supply along with warehouse cutoff, carrier pickup and transit time. Review exceptions such as extreme weather, customs or address errors without deleting them silently from reported performance, and provide updates early if a date is at risk, remembering that communication does not turn a missed original promise into an on-time delivery.

Check demand spikes, since a promotion may overload capacity, and compare similar periods rather than attributing every miss to individual staff. Keep the denominator stable by including eligible orders promised during a period and allowing enough time for outcomes, because excluding undelivered orders can inflate accuracy.

Use error distance too, since a one-day slip and a month-long miss both fail a binary rate but their impact differs, and examine order value and priority because a small delayed accessory and a critical spare have very different consequences. Look for root causes and avoid gaming with distant dates, as a promise far later than feasible can improve the pass rate while worsening customer experience; for owners, order promise accuracy connects operational planning to the date a customer was told, so preserve the original promise and measure the customer-relevant finish.

In practice

Real-world examples.

1

Example

A Friday promised arrival occurs Tuesday and fails the arrival measure. The warehouse had dispatched on Friday, so a ship-based metric would have shown success. The customer's production line waited three days for the part.

2

Example

A customer-approved postponement is logged separately from the original date. The first promise stays in the record along with the reason and approval for the change. Reports can then show both the original and the revised commitment.

3

Example

One missing unit makes a line incomplete despite an on-time partial shipment. The line fails the full-quantity test even though most units arrived by the date. The team records the shortage so supply planning can see it.

Formula

Calculation

On-promise rate = eligible lines fully delivered inside the agreed window / eligible promised lines x 100 Worked example. A fictional supplier made promises on 100 eligible lines in a month. Eighty lines were fully delivered inside the agreed window, 15 arrived after it and 5 arrived short. - Lines that missed the promise = 15 + 5 = 20. - On-promise rate = 80 / 100 x 100 = 80%. - Tracking how many days late the 15 late lines were gives the error distance, which a single percentage does not show.

Case study

Seen in the real world.

This entirely fictional case follows Rowan Parts. Its dashboard used warehouse ship scans and showed high accuracy, but customers reported late arrivals. The team switched to documented delivery evidence and recorded original versus revised dates. The example does not set a universal acceptable target.

After the change, the reported accuracy fell, which surprised the sales team. Rowan then split misses into stock shortages, missed carrier pickups and transit delays, and fixed the largest cause first. It also began quoting arrival dates based on carrier transit time instead of dispatch dates.

Watch out

Common mistakes.

  • Confusing promised ship date with promised arrival date.
  • Overwriting original commitments after a delay.
  • Counting partial delivery as full completion without stating the rule.

Questions

People also ask.

What is compared?

A documented customer commitment and the matching actual event.

What about changed dates?

Preserve the original and any customer-approved revision.

Does a carrier label prove delivery?

No. Use delivery evidence for an arrival promise.

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Last updated · October 8, 2026
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