What it means
The language comes from the way a bull attacks, tossing its horns upwards, so a bull expects prices to rise while a bear expects them to fall. A bull position is therefore any arrangement that gains from a rise, whether that means owning the asset outright or holding the right to buy it.
Ownership is the plain version. You buy 1,000 shares, you own them, your loss is limited to what you paid, and nobody can ask you for more money.
Borrowing to buy the same shares changes that, because the loss is then measured against a much smaller slice of your own capital. Derivatives create bull positions without ownership.
Buying a call option gives the right to buy at a set price, while futures and contracts for difference give the same directional exposure for only a margin deposit, which magnifies the gain and the loss alike. Businesses hold bull positions without ever using the phrase.
A bakery that buys six months of flour in advance is long flour, a developer sitting on unsold land is long property, and an exporter waiting to be paid in dollars is long dollars against its home currency. That is why the idea belongs in a risk register rather than only in a trading manual.
The question to ask of any balance sheet is which prices it quietly assumes will hold or rise, because those are the bull positions the business already owns. The nuance is the difference between a view and an exposure.
A bull position taken deliberately because you expect a rise is a decision, while one left in place because nobody looked is simply an unmanaged risk.
In practice
Real-world examples.
Example
A pasta manufacturer buys nine months of durum wheat forward at a fixed price to protect its margins. The hedge is also a bull position on wheat, so when prices fall 20% the company is locked into paying above market, and the board decides in future to cover only half its need forward.
Example
An investor expecting a recovery in an airline buys call options rather than shares, paying $12,000 in premium for the right to buy 10,000 shares at $30.00. If the shares reach $38.00 the position is worth about $80,000 before costs, and if they stay below $30.00 the whole $12,000 is lost.
Example
A UK exporter invoices a United States customer $500,000 payable in 90 days and leaves it unhedged. It is long dollars by $500,000, and a 5% fall in the dollar against sterling costs it roughly $25,000 of value on a sale it has already made.
Formula
Calculation
Profit on a bull position = (exit price - entry price) times quantity, less costs. Take 5,000 shares bought at $42.00, a cost of 5,000 times 42.00, which is $210,000, plus $150 of commission, so $210,150 invested. Sold later at $49.50, the proceeds are 5,000 times 49.50, which is $247,500, less $150 of commission on the sale. The gross gain is 247,500 - 210,000, which is $37,500, and after $300 of total commission the net gain is $37,200, a return of 37,200 divided by 210,150, which is 17.7%. Had the price instead fallen to $35.00, the loss would be 5,000 times (42.00 - 35.00), which is $35,000, plus the same $300 of commission.Case study
Seen in the real world.
Brambleway Bakeries is an invented business used here as an illustrative case. Its buyer had a standing habit of committing to flour six months ahead whenever prices looked reasonable, which nobody had ever described as taking a position.
One year flour prices fell by a third shortly after Brambleway had committed to 2,400 tonnes. The company was paying an average of $420 a tonne while competitors bought at $280, a difference of about $336,000 over the contract, and two supermarket customers used the gap to press for lower prices.
The fictional response was a policy rather than a prediction. Brambleway capped forward buying at 50% of forecast need, required board approval beyond that, and started reporting its open commodity commitments monthly, so the bull position was at least a visible choice.
Watch out
Common mistakes.
- Thinking a bull position only exists in a trading account, when stock, forward purchase contracts, unsold property and foreign currency receivables all create one.
- Assuming a hedge removes risk, when fixing a purchase price is itself a bull position that loses value if prices fall.
- Measuring a leveraged bull position's return against the asset's value rather than against the capital actually at risk, which understates how dangerous it is.
Questions
People also ask.
What is the difference between a bull position and a long position?
None in practice, as both describe exposure that gains when the price rises, with long being the more formal term.
Does a bull position have to involve borrowing?
No, buying an asset with your own cash is the simplest form, and borrowing only changes the scale of the gain or loss relative to your capital.
How do you reduce a bull position without selling the asset?
By offsetting it, for example with a forward sale, a futures contract or a put option, which gives a gain if the price falls and partly cancels the exposure.
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